Monday, October 28, 2013

Have we seen the end of the decline in violent crime?

The 2012 National Crime Victimization Survey by the Bureau of Justice Statistics found that 26 of every 1,000 people experienced violent crime, a 15% increase in how many people reported being victims of rape, robbery or assault. Property crime — burglary, theft and car theft — rose 12%. 
"We've plateaued. At this point, I don't think we're going to see any more decreases in crime," said criminologist James Alan Fox of Northeastern University in Boston. "The challenge will be making sure crime rates don't go back up."
Via USA Today

There are two main sources of crime statistics. One is the FBI's Uniform Crime Reports (UCR) program. UCR collects statistics of crimes that have been reported to police.

The National Crime Victimization Survey questions people about their victimization regardless of whether or not the crime has been reported to police.

Both these sources taken together are important as while the numbers from UCR may be more accurate as every police agency in the US is required to report them, there are quite a number of crimes that go unreported.

I'm not surprised that the decline would eventually end. I didn't think the numbers would drop forever. However, I was hoping we'd see them drop for at least a few more years.

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