The FBI recently released the preliminary UCR crime numbers for 2011. It was no surprise that for most parts of the country, crime is down. There was a story over at the Austin public radio station KUT that had this rather pessimistic assessment of just how long this decline would continue:
Though recent years have been good, Lauderdale explains that Texas might be in a transitional phase where crime rates could escalate soon.
“In the last couple of years, we may be starting to see some indicators that suggest that we may see increasing crime rates,” he says. “If you look at crime rates over a 50 or 60 year period, you’ll see a decade when they will rise and a decade when they will fall. And I think we are probably at the end of a decade, maybe 15 years of declining crime rates, but we may have reached the end of that.”
So what's your guess? Will crime continue to go down or are we about to turn the corner on this?